Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-02-09 0.201888 0.234229 0.271884 0.319411 0.378438 0.450196 0.545373
2025-02-16 0.152843 0.193086 0.245710 0.321429 0.430875 0.588929 0.845870
2025-02-23 0.124646 0.167244 0.227849 0.324267 0.481949 0.746652 1.269433
2025-03-02 0.105980 0.148796 0.213791 0.325848 0.529163 0.919667 1.851993
2025-03-09 0.092077 0.133933 0.200820 0.323988 0.568195 1.097848 2.620836
2025-03-16 0.080802 0.120857 0.187549 0.317181 0.594336 1.264357 3.570717
2025-03-23 0.074428 0.114505 0.184094 0.327241 0.659351 1.567821 5.478545
2025-03-30 0.067036 0.105250 0.173666 0.320467 0.683131 1.779047 7.526249
2025-04-06 0.062277 0.099874 0.169387 0.325460 0.738719 2.139832 11.586232
2025-04-13 0.057263 0.093365 0.161828 0.321228 0.768096 2.441054 16.786415
2025-04-20 0.053944 0.089548 0.158972 0.327286 0.830987 2.954508 28.145901
2025-04-27 0.051316 0.086702 0.157624 0.336724 0.910222 3.662771 53.029843
2025-05-04 0.048653 0.083555 0.155324 0.343716 0.988167 4.524388 110.749172
2025-05-11 0.046433 0.081048 0.154079 0.353505 1.084708 5.742600 297.647812
2025-05-18 0.044147 0.078154 0.151541 0.359120 1.170207 7.146933 1019.712126
2025-05-25 0.041903 0.075111 0.148222 0.361674 1.246191 8.765093 5866.773039
2025-06-01 0.039631 0.071786 0.143785 0.359771 1.302078 10.448358 132864.524628
2025-06-08 0.037274 0.068067 0.137930 0.352035 1.325592 11.896704 NaN
2025-06-15 0.036094 0.066778 0.137894 0.363596 1.463560 16.058274 NaN
2025-06-22 0.034107 0.063546 0.132565 0.355830 1.486863 18.400034 NaN
2025-06-29 0.032882 0.061904 0.131121 0.361561 1.600587 24.145850 NaN
2025-07-06 0.031312 0.059357 0.127018 0.356707 1.643617 28.726513 NaN
2025-07-13 0.030325 0.058061 0.126090 0.363659 1.778713 39.378155 NaN